The deep depression over southeast Bay of Bengal moved north-northwestwards with a speed of 12 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centered at 1130 hours IST of today, the 10th May 2023 over the same region near latitude 9.1°N and longitude 88.7°E, about 520 km southwest of Port Blair, 1410 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and 1300 km south-southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar).
It is very likely to move north-northwestwards and intensify gradually into a cyclonic storm over the same region by tonight. Then continuing to move north-northwestwards, it will gradually intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm by 11th May morning and very severe cyclonic storm by 11th May mid-night over southeast and adjoining central Bay of Bengal. Thereafter, it is likely to recurve gradually, move north-northeastwards from 12th May morning. It is likely to weaken slightly from 13th May evening and cross southeast Bangladesh and north Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar) around forenoon of 14th May, 2023 with maximum sustained wind speed of 110-120 kmph gusting to 130 kmph.
